The federal government has told states to prepare for a coronavirus vaccine to be ready to distribute by Nov. 1.
The timeline raised concern among public health experts about an βOctober surpriseβ β a vaccine approval driven by political considerations ahead of a presidential election, rather than science.
In a letter to governors dated Aug. 27, Robert Redfield, director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said states βin the near futureβ will receive permit applications from McKesson Corp., which has contracted with CDC to distribute vaccines to places including state and local health departments and hospitals.
βCDC urgently requests your assistance in expediting applications for these distribution facilities and, if necessary, asks that you consider waiving requirements that would prevent these facilities from becoming fully operational by November 1, 2020,β Redfield wrote.
He wrote that any waivers will not compromise the safety or effectiveness of the vaccine. The Associated Press obtained the letter, which was first reported by McClatchy.
The CDC also sent three planning documents to some health departments that included possible timelines for when vaccines would be available. The documents are to be used to develop plans for early vaccination when the supply might be constrained, according to one of the documents, which outlined a scenario in which a vaccine could be available as soon as the end of October.
βThe COVID-19 vaccine landscape is evolving and uncertain, and these scenarios may evolve as more information is available,β the document reads.
Another of the documents says that limited COVID-19 vaccine doses may be available by early November and that supply will increase substantially in 2021.
It also states that initially available vaccines will either be approved by the Food and Drug Administration or authorized by the agency under its emergency powers.
The documents encourage health officials to work out now which groups to prioritize for a vaccine, identify providers who will administer vaccine, and take other steps to prepare. The planning documents were first reported by The New York Times.
Redfield told Yahoo Finance that officials were preparing βfor what I anticipate will be reality, is that thereβll be one or more vaccines available for us in November, December.β
James S. Blumenstock, a senior vice president at the Association of State and Territorial Health Officials, said the CDC was offering βan aggressive but necessary timetableβ and that public health agencies were mobilizing to prepare detailed plans.
Several public health experts pointed out that final stage trials of experimental vaccines are still recruiting, and are at best halfway through that process. The vaccines are two doses, and each is given a month apart. The experts told the AP they did not understand how there could be adequate data on whether the vaccines work and are safe before Nov. 1.
βBeing ready is reasonable. Cutting short phase 3 trials before you get the information you need isnβt,β said Dr. Paul Offit, a Childrenβs Hospital of Philadelphia immunization expert who sits on the FDAβs vaccine advisory committee.
Peter Hotez, dean of Baylor Universityβs tropical medicine school, said he was βvery concernedβ about whether the FDA would use an emergency use authorization to approve a vaccine before knowing whether it works and is safe.
βIt gives the appearance of a stunt rather than an expression of public health concern,β³ Hotez said.
FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn previously said the agency wouldnβt cut corners in evaluating vaccines, though it would aim to expedite its work. He told the Financial Times this week that it might be βappropriateβ to approve a vaccine before clinical trials were complete if the benefits outweighed the risks.
Unlike a therapeutic that is given to sick people who may have no alternative, a vaccine is given to healthy people, βso you have a much higher burden of proof,β said Ashish Jha, dean of Brown Universityβs public health school.
βI think itβs reasonable to be communicating to hospitals and saying β at some point late in the fall or winter,β Jha said. βNovember feels awfully early.β
Michael Osterholm, a University of Minnesota infectious disease expert, said he was concerned about an βOctober surpriseβ with a vaccine being rushed through ahead of the election.
βThe public health community wants a safe and effective vaccine as much as anybody could want it,β Osterholm said. βBut the data have to be clear and compelling.β
He said there was a βcredibility gapβ between doctors and the FDA about how rigorously products are being evaluated during the pandemic.
Some state officials said Wednesday that they were working on next steps while still awaiting details from CDC, and some sounded a cautious note.
Kris Ehresmann, Minnesotaβs infectious disease director, told the AP the state would only move forward βonce we know it is safe.β She said they would take their lead from the CDCβs Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, which she said βwill only recommend a vaccine that has met the safety criteria.β
The Oregon Board of Pharmacy said it would expedite McKessonβs applications but wouldnβt waive requirements necessary to maintain public health and safety.
Its executive director, Joe Schnabel, said in a statement that the board didnβt have enough information on how distribution would work βto speculate about whether it will be fully operational by November 1st.β
The office of Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf, a Democrat, said state officials donβt know yet what is being asked of them, and will first need to do βan extensive review of the potential benefits or pitfalls of such waivers.β
New Mexico Human Service Secretary David Scrase said the state was preparing to administer coronavirus vaccines on a limited basis starting in November to health care workers and residents of long-term care facilities. The broad public vaccine roll-out is slated for January. He said current vaccine provider networks are robust and adequate for the COVID-19 effort.
Regarding the timing of the CDC request to expedite or waive permits for distribution centers to open Nov. 1, Scrase said, βI canβt tell you about the political motivations on that.β
A spokesman for Tennessee Republican Gov. Bill Lee said the state was reviewing its next steps.
βNews of a vaccine is encouraging and a testament to the power of American innovation,β said the spokesman, Gillum Ferguson.
And in Florida, Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis said he wasnβt aware of the CDC news, but he said people shouldnβt think that the virus will be gone in two months once a vaccine is released.
βI would hope that the federal government would kind of take the lead on that,β said DeSantis, a Trump ally. βHopefully they have a plan to do it and will really focus on those vulnerable among us.β
