Heavy Rain and Storms Late Week from Elsa

AM Headlines:
  • Mild Start
  • Hot and Steamy Day
  • Clouds Fill in Late
  • Elsa bringing rain/storms locally Thursday
Discussion:
Hot and steamy today with highs back in the low 90s. Clouds fill in late. Steamy weather will stretch through Wednesday with a few storms possibly ahead of the main impacts from Elsa on Thursday.
Hurricane watches now in effect for the Nature Coast of Florida ahead of Tropical Storm Elsa. It is located about 50 miles SW of the Florida Keys and moves NNW through the day today where it will pick up steam in the Gulf of Mexico. It will likely strengthen and could intensify to a Category 1 hurricane before landfall north of Tampa early Wednesday. Regardless of category, this storm will bring 3-5″ of rainfall to west Florida with up to 8″ possible. Storm surge of 3-6′ will be possible for the Nature Coast, including Tampa Bay. This storm will bring heavy rain and potential flooding to the southeast with 2-4″ of rainfall for Georgia and the Carolinas. LOCALLY: Areas south and east of I-85 could receive 1-3″ of rain with up to 4″ of rain possible beginning Thursday. Localized flooding will be the biggest threat. If the track of this storm wiggles further west, we could see more of the area impacted by heavy rain. Further east, less of the area will deal with the heavy rain.
A cold front will bring more rain early Friday with drier conditions by the evening. Highs will rebound back into the low 90s for the weekend.