Locally Heavy Rain and Storms Possible due to Hurricane Elsa Thursday

AM Headlines:
  • Elsa will make landfall north of Cedar Key, FL later this morning (north of Tampa)
  • Tropical Storm Warnings/Watches are along the SC/NC coast
  • 1-3″ of rainfall locally
  • Gusts 20-30 mph
  • Isolated tornado threat (higher closer to the coast)
Latest on Elsa:
Elsa is back to a tropical storm after strengthening briefly yesterday to a hurricane. Sustained winds are 65 mph with gusts of 75 mph. It will make landfall north of Cedar Key, FL late this morning. Storm surge up to 5 feet will be possible with 3-6″ of rain.  As of the 8am update from the NHC, Elsa is forecast to remain a tropical storm through the southeast. It will move into the Carolinas early Thursday and is forecast to pass just east of Columbia Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm warnings and watches are in effect for the NC/SC coast. Storm surge of 1-2 feet will be possible with isolated tornado threat with gusts 30-40 mph. Rainfall totals of 2-4″ will be possible with locally higher amounts leading to a flash flooding threat.
LOCAL IMPACTS:
Clouds from the outer bands of Elsa will fill in today. it will feel very muggy with a light breeze out of the south. A few isolated to widely scattered storms will be possible tonight. But, the direct impacts from Elsa will begin tomorrow. Heavy rain and a few storms will be possible. Rain will begin early Thursday while most will be sleeping around 5am. There is still disagreement on the track of center with Elsa, which could still swing very close if not through the WCCB viewing area. Heaviest rain will be from 7am – 3pm. 1-3″ will be possible. Downpours could lead to flash flooding. It will be breezy with winds out of the east with gusts up to 20-30 mph. Isolated tornado threat, but that will higher towards the coast.
A cold front will bring more rain Friday with a typical summertime pattern setting up this weekend. Chance storms with highs in the low 90s.