New NASA observations show a small chance of a large asteroid impacting Earth in 2032

According to NASA, "Currently, no other known large asteroids have an impact probability above 1%."

New NASA observations show a near-Earth asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, with more than a 1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032.

The asteroid was first reported to the Minor Planet Center on December 27, 2024. YR4 is estimated to be about 130 to 300 feet wide.

According to NASA, “Currently, no other known large asteroids have an impact probability above 1%.”

This initial analysis will change over time. NASA adds, “new observations may result in reassignment of this asteroid to 0 as more data comes in.”