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The First Hurricane Season Outlook Drops Today From Colorado State University 

One of the biggest storylines this year isn’t just in the Atlantic, it’s happening in the Pacific. There are growing signs that a “Super El Niño” could develop as we head into the peak of hurricane season. A typical El Niño means warmer-than-average water in the Pacific. A Super El Niño takes that even further, with temperatures running about 1.5 to 2°C above normal, which can have a stronger influence on weather patterns. Right now, some of the latest guidance from NOAA and the ECMWF suggests there’s roughly a 1-in-3 chance we could reach those levels by late summer or early fall.