Tropics Bring Heavy Rain Threat to Late Day Father’s Day Plans
AM Headlines:
- Heating up into the 90s
- Dry through Saturday
- TS Claudette likely to form later today
- 1-3″ of rain likely locally with 4-5″ south of I-85
Discussion:
Heating back up today with highs reaching the low 90s. Sunny and dry today, but feeling a bit more sticky this afternoon. A surge of gulf moisture will bring back those tropical feels Saturday with partly cloudy skies heat indices reaching the upper 90s. Rain and storms reach the area late Sunday. Highly suggest moving any outdoor Father’s Day plans to the morning or even Saturday. The heaviest rain will likely fall south of I-85. Likely 1-3″ of rainfall will be possible, but some areas could receive 4-5″ of rain through Tuesday next week. A one, two punch with the remnants of what will likely be Claudette bringing rain Sunday into Monday, and a cold front bringing another round of rain Tuesday into Wednesday. Elevated flash flooding threat begins Sunday. If the track of this disturbance shifts south we will see lower rainfall totals, if it shifts north, we will see more coverage of 3-5″ of rainfall across the region which will expand that flash flooding threat.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Three
As of the 5am update from the National Hurricane Center, PTC Three is located about 300 miles south of Morgan City. Tropical Storm Warnings are in place from the Central Louisiana coast to the Florida Panhandle. This storm will likely organize and become Tropical Storm Claudette before landfall late tonight into early Saturday in southeastern Louisiana. Areas to the right of the center of circulation will receive the most rain and biggest impacts from this system. 4-8 inches of rain along the coast will be possible, but we could see up to a foot of rainfall for areas along the MS/AL border. Storm surge of 1-3′ will be possible. Across the southeast and for us int the Carolinas the track will be important. If this system tracks further north it will bring higher rainfall totals to the WCCB viewing area, any further south, the highest rainfall totals will be through the Midlands of South Carolina. As of now 1-3″ of rainfall possible across the region, with 4-5″ of rain posssible for areas south of I-85. Rain will begin late Sunday.