One of the biggest storylines this year isn’t just in the Atlantic, it’s happening in the Pacific. There are growing signs that a “Super El Niño” could develop as we head into the peak of hurricane season.
A typical El Niño means warmer-than-average water in the Pacific. A Super El Niño takes that even further, with temperatures running about 1.5 to 2°C above normal, which can have a stronger influence on weather patterns. Right now, some of the latest guidance from NOAA and the ECMWF suggests there’s roughly a 1-in-3 chance we could reach those levels by late summer or early fall.