Two Possible Tropical Systems Could Develop this Weekend
The National Hurricane Center is now watching two areas of potential development in the Atlantic and off the Texas Coast.
The disturbance off the coast of Bermuda has a high chance for development as it enters favorable atmospheric and environmental conditions. A tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely late Friday into early Saturday. This storm will enter into a more unfavorable environment late Saturday as it moves northeast away from Bermuda. It poses no threat to the U.S. mainland.
The second area to watch is in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Texas. Although still disorganized, it will enter a more conducive environment today. It is possible that this storm will become a short-lived tropical depression or storm before moving over land later tonight. Regardless of development, this storm will likely bring heavy rain to areas in southern Texas and Lousiana that received more than a foot of rain this past week.
If a tropical/subtropical storm were to develop the first name on the 2021 list is Ana. It would make seven straight seasons with a named system before the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season on June 1.
2020 churned out 30 storms, beating out 2005 (28) as the most active hurricane season on record. While 2021 is not expected to be a record-breaking year in the Atlantic, experts are calling for a slightly above-average season. On average, a hurricane season spawns 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major (Cat. 3+) hurricanes.
2021 Hurricane Outlook
Tropical Storms | Hurricanes | Major Hurricanes | |
NOAA | 13-20 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
CSU | 17 | 8 | 4 |
NCSU | 15-18 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
The Weather Channel | 18 | 8 | 3 |
Average Season | 14 | 7 | 3 |